Japanese Beetle Pheno Forecast

Japanese beetle is considered to be among the most damaging turfgrass pests in eastern and Midwestern states. It has also brought large-scale destruction to garden plants and agricultural crops.

Japanese Beetle Adult Emergence Forecast

Japanese Beetle Egg Hatch Forecast

WHAT ARE PHENO FORECASTS?

Pheno Forecast maps predict key life cycle stages in invasive and pest species, to improve management efficacy.  For insect pest species, Pheno Forecasts are based on published growing degree day (GDD) thresholds for key points in species life cycles. These key points typically represent life cycle stages when management actions are most effective. For Japanese beetle, we forecast the first emergence of adults and the average date of egg hatch in the spring, for the full calendar year. Watch a video on how to use the Japanese beetle Pheno Forecast. 

Help us improve these maps! Our Pheno Forecast map products are still in development, and we seek input on their performance in your area. Give your feedback at the bottom of the page.

SIGN UP FOR PHENO FORECAST NOTIFICATIONS!

Sign up to be notified by email approximately two weeks and again six days ahead of key growing degree day thresholds for species of interest at your location


Credits: David Cappaert, Bugwood.org
Image
Japanese beetle on a leaf

SPECIES BACKGROUND

Japanese beetle (Popillia japonica ) is a non-native beetle from Japan which was first discovered in the United States in 1916. Their numbers rapidly increased in the 1950s and 1960s as home lawns became popular. Japanese beetle has continued to spread, and large eradication campaigns are currently taking place in parts of the Pacific Northwest. In their larval stage, they feed on the roots of plants, particularly grasses. In their adult stage they feed on plant foliage and occasionally on flower petals. The beetle is considered a top pest of turfgrass and has caused large-scale destruction to field crops, berries, fruit trees, vegetables and a wide array of ornamental plants.

LEARN HOW TO OBSERVE PHENOLOGY OF JAPANESE BEETLE

Our learning module walks you through how to identify Japanese beetle, how to report its life cycle events, and why you should care. 

Take the module


Credits: Chuck Bargeron, University of Georgia, Bugwood.org
Image
Japanese beetle feeds on a leaf

ADULT AND EGG HATCH FORECAST

We forecast adult emergence and egg hatch based on growing degree days. The forecasts are available for the contiguous United States, except for those areas where the temperatures for the current year are expected to be either too extreme for Japanese beetle to survive or too cold for a life cycle event to occur. Pheno Forecasts of adult emergence of Japanese beetle may help with surveillance because adults are more detectable than grubs, which occur underground. Forecasts of egg hatch, which occurs approximately four weeks after first adult emergence, may help to manage young grubs with products such as Bt, milky spore, and beneficial nematodes.


EXPLORE THIS FORECAST

Learn more about this forecast using our visualization tool!

Phenophase

GDD threshold

Base temp

Upper threshold

Start date

GDD method

Model origin

Source

Adult Emergence (earliest appearance of adults)

873oF

50oF

92oF

Jan 1

Single triangle

multiple states

DDRP; Barker and Coop 2020

Egg Hatch (average date of egg hatch)

1,543oF

50oF

92oF

Jan 1

Single triangle

multiple states

DDRP; Barker and Coop 2020

The development of this forecast was funded primarily by USDA NIFA AFRI TSAB Award #2022-68013-37138 to support agricultural biosecurity. 

Give us your feedback on our Pheno Forecast maps

Have you used our Pheno Forecast maps to plan treatment activities, or to know when to search for pests of interest? Do you have a suggestion of another species for which a forecast would help you make decisions? We'd love to hear about it!

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